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EA (Electronic Arts) publishes computer and video games. EA is mostly known from gaming titles such as Fifa and Madden, but also developes games like Battlefield and The Sims.
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Choshinsung - Stupid Love 2012

Japanese, Korean. October 20, 2012 by ranikid.

More active in J-pop than in K-pop, Supernova has picked up their activities in Korea recently with members participating in drama productions. The group (minus Yoon Hak, who's currently serving in the military) also finally has a new Korean release for fans, the single album Stupid Love. Supernova worked with hitmaker Ryan Jhun for their new single, a powerful dance number that incorporates dubstep.

Supernova 초신성 - Stupid Love 2012
MP3 / 320 / WEB
FLAC / Lossless / CD
Genre: Pop

Track List
01 Stupid Love
02 Saturday
03 Stop Girl
04 Stupid Love (Inst.)
05 Saturday (Inst.)
06 Stop Girl (Inst.)

size: 46.79 MB (320Kbps) 152.61 MB (flac)
filename: 201012-supernova-stupidlove-2012-320Kbps

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320Kbps Ryushare - Cyberlocker - Sharedbit
FLAC Ryushare - Cyberlocker - Sharedbit

Password: waresec

Here you can download files online. Unlimited access to all sources file with one click direct download link!
  • Featured link
  • [20-10-2012]


text:
Business Bulk SMS Software
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Data Doctor Bulk SMS
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text:
Saturday, October 18, 2008

Risk Management Software: Advantages & Disadvantages

“Australian companies are gambling the future of millions of dollars of software development projects by not implementing simple risk management schemes, an industry study has found.”(AFR, 1996) Risk management is an essential aspect of project management. Defining, controlling, managing, and eliminating risks helps project managers succeed in their relative projects.
Risk management involves many different techniques related mostly to risk analysis. Such techniques are sometimes complex and time-consuming as is the case with the Monte-Carlo simulation risk analysis technique. Due to such complexities, many software were developed to solve this problem.

Risk management software can be divided into two main categories: integration software and standalone ones.
By integration software we mean tools that were built in order to integrate with existing project management software. For example in case you want to use the Monte Carlo simulation technique “with Microsoft Project you need to have add-on tool.
There are a number of such tools available on market including @RISK for Project from Palisade Corporation (, RiskyProject from Intaver Institute (, Pertmaster software from Pertmaster Limited (, Risk+ from S/C Solutions Inc. (”(INTAVER, n.d.)

As for the standalone software, (Tec-com Inc., 2008) lists more than fifty different risk-related ones that range from desktop applications to web-based applications. One example is “The Risk Manager” from RMSS: “The Risk Manager© is a user friendly application, based on the principles and workflow of the Australian and New Zealand Standard for Risk Management, known as AS/NZS 4360. The core process of Identification, Assessment, Control and Monitoring has been embedded in the application.” (RMSS, 2008)

Using risk management software, however, be it a tool or standalone software, has both advantages and disadvantages.

Other than the obvious advantage of saving time and eliminating the complexities of some of the risk analysis and management techniques, risk management software allow project managers through a user-friendly interface to access the latest tools to assess the project risks. For instance they provide answers to questions such as:

- What is the chance of your project being completed on schedule and within budget?
- What is the chance that the particular task will be on the critical path?
- What tasks affect the project duration at most?
- What is the project success rate?”(INTAVER, n.d.)
In some cases, such software allow him/her to, furthermore, get alerts regarding any risk that may have trespassed a preset threshold.
Having an online risk management application can also allow charts, tables, and different reports to be prepared in the easiest and most time-efficient manner.
Moreover, having the ability to integrate some application tools with the general project management software, enable the project manager to have a single management dashboard for the different processes involved.

As for the disadvantages of using such software, we could start by mentioning the additional cost involved which is on average around US$ 2000 excluding maintenance and support.
User-friendliness is not a common characteristic among such rigid scientific tools. Some risk management software require training while others have minimal or no proper documentation (especially the free tools). In similar cases, the risk management software will be time-consuming and even sometimes inaccurate in case misused.
Finally, relying on automated results in the form of charts and other types of reports to manage project risks could actually add unforeseen risks in case wrong or imprecise input was entered due to inexperience or simply by mistake, or in other cases where the software itself was defected or contained bugs. Some web risk management applications, for instance, might fail to provide instant critical information due to connection or server failure causing instant severe damage to the project’s timeline and/or budget.

To conclude, risk management software although built to help projects succeed with minimum or controlled risks, usage of such tools requires full consciousness of the consequences that might result from any related misuse.

1. Australian Financial Review AFR (Thursday, 13 June 1996) “Cut risk or face costly software consequences, warns IT expert” [online] available from:

2. INTAVER Institute Inc. (n.d.) Quantitative Risk Analysis with Microsoft Project [Online Article] available from:

3. Tec-com Inc. (July 21, 2008) Risk-Related Software [online] available from:

4. Risk Management & Safety Systems - RMSS (2008) The Risk Manager [online] Available from:

Project Management Software said...

The Program (Investment) Life Cycle integrates the project management and system development life cycles with the activities directly associated with system deployment and operation. By design, system operation management and related activities occur after the project is complete and are not documented within this guide.

Project Management Software said...

One factor is the level of technical autonomy. Many large companies have standards which are intended to reduce costs.Project Management Software
Technical is to sound and work hard.

Jone said...

I like this post:

You create good material for community.

Please keep posting.

Let me introduce other material that may be good for net community.

Source: Time management software

Best rgs

best practice said...

Before you install any software in your unit, make sure that you have it check my someone knowledgeable to avoid hassle.

Management Software said...

To improve productivity of a company and reduce costs, an effective management software should be used. Management software is a long term solution to leverage existing investment in Microsoft technology.

Gracie Christina said...

Your tips are extremely helpful for proper project risk management. Project management is about changing, transforming or building something with people. It requires much more leadership than standard management. Project risk management and team collaboration is very important for success. Thanks for sharing.

Jennifer Mark said...

Amazing facts mentioned here in. But one thing I would like to focus with is if there is improper time management the risk factor comes into action in a vast approach. To get rid of the risk, I have started using the cloud based fully automated Replicon's time tracking software - that works in a hassle free approach getting the things done up in a smoother manner.

Famcare said...

Sounds like a pretty solid nonprofit software you have there.

rituelstudio said...

Hi your post is very very helpful.Risk Management Software

Richard C. Lambert said...

. Our top blog picks for construction managers are listed below, in no particular order.public defender case management software


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Wednesday, August 10, 2005

I heard a report on the radio news yesterday about this. The description of the two was amazingly detailed, down to the exact poundage of their weights. However, until I saw the picture on the web, I didn't know that he is black and she is white. Did political correctness kept this very important info from the newscast?


text:
Monday, January 11, 2010

How Hospitals Survive: Making Dust

If they don't make dust, they fade (subscription):
UIC has spent four years drafting plans for a $450-million patient tower as the centerpiece of a $650-million, five-year-long overhaul of its Near West Side campus. But an inability to finance the project has forced longtime CEO John DeNardo to ice those plans for now.

He's settling for a $40-million repair job on the 500-bed hospital, which lost heat two days last month when the campus steam plant gave out.

The capital crunch poses a threat to UIC, where the hospital serves as a training ground for the nation's largest medical school — more than 15% of the state's physicians cut their teeth at the place. Rival university hospitals are pouring money into new buildings, including Rush University Medical Center's $1-billion makeover next door. The wider that gap grows, the harder UIC will have to work to attract talented physicians and researchers — or the well-insured patients it needs to improve its bottom line.
Part of the problem is the patient mix UIC sees, but the other larger part of the problem is the abysmal state of Medicaid funding:
The medical center has never been a financial powerhouse, partly because it treats a high percentage of low-income patients. Roughly one-third of its revenue in recent years has come from the state's Medicaid program for the poor. Still, its 500-physician medical staff has built some nationally prominent programs, including in eye care, organ transplants and robotic surgery.

Mr. DeNardo acknowledges the challenges but says the modest building overhaul will be enough to stay competitive and continue to provide a training center for medical students and residents.

Joseph Flaherty, dean of U of I's medical school, says the hospital's deteriorating condition — especially in light of its competitors' gleaming new facilities — already has hurt its ability to recruit and keep top faculty. "If we don't start making some dust soon, people will feel that this is a sinking ship," Dr. Flaherty says.
It's survival of the financially fittest right now - even for hospitals.

One wonders how UIC's next door neighbors (Rush and Stroger) will fare should they close and their Medicaid patients are shunted their way. Given the mandate that Medicaid is being expanded and the burden falls squarely on the budgets of states after 2017, unless the government addresses these underfunded entitlement programs directly, it all seems like a colossal house of cards - even with "reform."

Keith said...

Your last statement is most telling. What if UIC did close and who would take care of those patients?

I wonderd a few years back why the hospital CEO's of Rush, Northwestern, and other area hospitals were so supportive of building a new county hospital. Now the reasons are obvious; they need a place to send the uninsured and lower paying underinsured population. Without these public institutions, they might be easily overwhelmed by these patients, so supporting the public financing of these public entities is a good buisiness plan for those "non-profit hospitals".

I prsonally think that what should happen is a tax on those overbuilt medical systems that could be used to update public facilities that are in need of replacement. That way these "non profit" institutions could fulfill their missions by contributing to the care of the indigent that they have so adeptly avoided over a number of years.

DrWes said...

"I prsonally think that what should happen is a tax on those overbuilt medical systems that could be used to update public facilities that are in need of replacement."

Such a tax already exists, but it's not called a "sick tax" here in Illinois. It's called a "hospital assessment."

Now, where is all that money going?

CriticalCareRN said...

Yes, Keith, and while the county hospital gets flooded with the government insured, and uninsured - we can watch it head toward bankruptcy - much like the six hospitals in Massachusetts are facing today.

Interesting, though, how avoiding government insured and uninsured patients (ie., those that cost a hospital money to care for; not to mention the added legal risks) in order to preserve the viability and quality of a hospital is somehow an avaricious endeavor. Taking the unfortunate, and sadly necessary, steps to avoid bankruptcy is truly a sign of an uncaring facility - huh?

Incidentally, Rush was my employer for many years (for the majority of my career as a critical care nurse thus far). Our unit was no stranger to illegal immigrants from the area, often staying with us for many weeks at a time.


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Social Scientist. v 9, no. 100 (Nov 1980) p. 55.

Social Scientist, issues 100, Nov 1980, page 55.
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dc.contributor.authorSiebert, Frances
dc.contributor.authorEckhardt, Holger C
dc.identifier.citationSIEBERT, F. & ECKHARDT, H.C. 2008. The Vegetation and Floristics of the Nkhuhlu Exclosures, Kruger National Park. Koedoe, 50(1):126-144. [] []en
dc.description.abstractThe need to conduct research on the impact of elephant on the environment prompted the construction of exclosures along two of the most important rivers in the Kruger National Park. Scientific research on these exclosures along the Sabie and Letaba rivers addresses how patterns of spatial and temporal heterogeneity of the riparian zone are affected by fire, flood and herbivory. To further assist this research programme, a vegetation survey was conducted at the Nkhuhlu exclosure site along the Sabie River to classify and map the vegetation of the area. This will provide baseline data to assess future changes in vegetation and floristic patterns due to small-scale environmental factors created by the presence/absence of herbivory and fire. Phytosociological data were analysed to identify plant communities and subsequent mapping units. Five plant communities, ten sub-communities and four variants were recognised and described in relation to prevailing soil forms. Differences in species richness, diversity and community structure of the plant communities are clearly articulated.
dc.publisherOpenJournals Publishingen
dc.titleThe Vegetation and Floristics of the Nkhuhlu Exclosures, Kruger National Park.en

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shelving unit

custom made towel / clothes rack

Made to measure upon the request ‘I need a towel rack for my new house, can you make something simple and elegant for me?’  This towel rack is to be the genesis for a new range of furniture based on … Continue reading

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Friday, November 11, 2011

It appears that our names have been permanently included in the “Bleeding Hearts” mailing list.

We were recently away for five days. One day was a Sunday, so from a “mail” perspective, it was four days.

When we returned home, I went to the Post Office to retrieve our “held” mail. Along with catalogues, magazines, sales pitches and bills were a stack of solicitations from various charities and interest groups.

The following are the organizations that hit us up for donations:

The Juvenile Diabetes Foundation

The Venice Family Clinic

The Make-A-Wish Foundation

Amnesty International

Habitat For Humanity

The United Way

Americans For Peace Now

The American Foundation For The Blind

The American Kidney Fund

The Los Angeles County Museum of Art

The American Heart Association

The American Red Cross

Save The Redwoods

The Actors Fund of America

and the

St. Joseph Indian School

Sixteen solicitations for money.

In only four days.

What am I supposed to do?

Happy Canada Day, you guys., A poppy - I would gladly pay for.

Zaraya said...

Dear Mr. Pomerantz; following up the sixteen pitches for help with one of your own gave me a grin this Rememberance Day.

I wish I could find a poppy here in California, too.

Frank said...

Just bought an extra poppy for you Earl eh.


text:
Skip to main content

Apalachicola Continues to Release Polluted Wastewater into River/Bay

Citizen Suit Filed as City Fails to Address Health Issues and Clean Water Act Violations
May 30, 2002
Tallahassee, FL —

Responding to the city of Apalachicola's continued failure to prevent discharges in violation of Federal Clean Water Act standards from its wastewater treatment facility, Apalachicola Bay and River Keeper, Inc. (ABARK) has filed a lawsuit against the city to obtain elimination of the pollution. ABARK is represented by Earthjustice in the federal lawsuit, brought under the Clean Water Act. The Florida Department of Environmental Protection has previously acknowledged serious problems with the plant and with discharge of pollutants into tributaries that flow into Apalachicola Bay. Despite recent installation of a new waste treatment plant and despite ongoing threats to the health of Apalachicola Bay, the Florida DEP and the city of Apalachicola have failed to curb discharges and have given local citizens little recourse but legal action to clean up this chronic cause for problems in the Bay.

"We have to go to court to get the wastewater out of Apalachicola Bay. The Bay is too imperiled and too important to us and our families," said David McLain, executive director of ABARK.

"Proposed Florida DEP removal of the Apalachicola river and bay from the impaired waters list to be sent to EPA flies in the face of reality: Where were the state auditors from DEP when 1400 oystermen and their families could not harvest their crop for two-and-a-half months last fall? What would they have told the young children of those families, since there would be no Thanksgiving turkey and no Christmas? The threats to the Apalachicola system are many and varied -- Atlanta's growth continues to threaten and reduce fresh water flows; contamination upstream continues; wetlands habitat continues to fall to destructive dredging for an impossible navigation channel; uncontrolled growth threatens to outstrip local infrastructure; and other wastewater treatment plants within the basin are problematic. Yet the river and bay are not sufficiently impaired to be able to apply for federal grants to fix these current problems and prepare for the future. What's wrong with this picture?"

The lawsuit comes on the heels of a decision by the state Department of Environmental Protection to take Apalachicola Bay off the list of polluted waters in Florida. That decision rankled local groups, who pointed out that the bay had gotten more polluted rather than less polluted in recent years. "You don't clean up waterways by changing the rules so that you can call them clean. You clean waterways by following the law and keeping the pollution out," said David Guest of Earthjustice.

Apalachicola obtained its first Clean Water Act permit for its sewage treatment plant roughly 15 years ago. However, the plant was plagued with problems from the beginning. Shortly after its first permit was issued, the government cited the city for permit violations and had to begin issuing a series of consent orders to the city that temporarily allowed continued, sub-standard operation. ABARK has repeatedly threatened legal action in an attempt to stop ongoing, point-source pollution and force the implementation of Clean Water Act standards, but the city of Apalachicola continues to fail to bring its wastewater treatment plant into compliance.

"The health and sustained productivity of our river and bay demand a more aggressive approach to preventing pollution," said Andy Smith, president of ABARK. "The people who work and recreate on the river and bay and future generations deserve to have the resources protected for their use and enjoyment. The city and Florida DEP have the means to achieve this goal and need to make the protection of our surface waters a priority, not just a good idea."

The city has constructed and begun operation of a new wastewater treatment plant, replaced collection lines, and recently selected a contractor to operate the facility. In its current state, however, the facility has yet to come into compliance with the Clean Water Act. Though one option to solve the problem, for which state and federal funding has been approved, involves disposing of waste through a land application system, the city has yet to purchase land for this use. The fact that the funding for that procurement expires in October had much to do with the timing of ABARK's suit. According to Earthjustice, Florida DEP was entertaining the idea of allowing a further weakening of the limits on pollutants from the plant and yet another extension of the deadline for the city to come into compliance.

"ABARK is not seeking a monetary judgment," said McLain. "As soon as the city can demonstrate that their waste water going into our river and bay are in compliance with federal Clean Water Act standards or can demonstrate that they are going to an upland land application system, this suit goes away."

Suzanne Carrier (press): 202.667.4500

David Guest (attorney): 850.681.0031


text:
Flooding at the Junction of the Mississippi and Ohio Rivers
acquired May 3, 2011 download large image (5 MB, JPEG, 5980x5191)
acquired May 3, 2011 download GeoTIFF file (54 MB, TIFF, 5980x5191)
Flooding at the Junction of the Mississippi and Ohio Rivers
acquired April 14, 2010 download large image (5 MB, JPEG, 5980x5191)
acquired April 14, 2010 download GeoTIFF file (62 MB, TIFF, 5980x5191)
acquired April 14, 2010 - May 3, 2011 download Google Earth file (KML)

Unrelenting spring rains fell on the Mississippi Basin, and residents along the river watched with trepidation as water levels surged, wondering if the levees that protected them would hold. Communities worked ceaselessly to shore up the beleaguered levees until a section opened up, inundating thousands of acres. The date? April 1927. By the time the floods receded in July, more than 26,000 square miles of land had flooded in seven states, killing at least 246 people and destroying 41,487 buildings.

In late April 2011, unrelenting spring rains pounded the basin once again, and water levels on the Ohio and Mississippi Rivers rose to record levels. The top image, taken by the Landsat-5 satellite on May 3, 2011, shows the confluence of the two swollen rivers. The lower image shows the rivers at normal spring levels in 2010. In 2011, floods blanket farmland along both rivers.

In the face of potentially disastrous flooding, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers set into motion a plan devised after the devastating floods of 1927. They decided to flood the New Madrid Floodway south of Cairo, Illinois and the confluence of the two rivers.

Following the 1927 floods, the Corps built a series of floodways, including the New Madrid Floodway, along the Mississippi River’s historic floodplain to act as a sort of pressure valve when floods threatened to overwhelm the levees. The 1927 floods showed that no levee system could contain the mighty Mississippi River during big floods. 2011 marks the first (and only other) time since 1937 that the New Madrid Floodway has been used.

In the top image, the muddy water extending south of the Bird’s Point Levee is flowing over farmland in the New Madrid Floodway. The overflow into the floodway relieved flood conditions upstream. At the time the image was taken, the Ohio River in Cairo was at 60.62 feet (18.48 meters), down from a record peak of 61.72 feet (18.81 meters) on May 2 before the Corp blasted the levee open. Flood stage is 40 feet (12 meters).

“This is the flood that engineers envisioned following the 1927 flood,” said U.S. Army Corps Mississippi Valley Division Commander Maj. Gen. Michael Walsh in a May 2 news conference. “It is testing the system like never before and now is the right time to activate the floodway.”

By opening the floodway, the Corps intended to relieve pressure on the entire river system, hoping to avoid a repeat of the 1927 disaster. “Making this decision is not easy or hard—it’s simply grave—because the decision leads to loss of property and livelihood—either in a floodway—or in an area that was not designed to flood,” Walsh said.

  1. References

  2. Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service. (2011, May 5). Ohio River at Cairo. National Weather Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Accessed May 5, 2011.
  3. Gough, S. (2011, May 2). Blowing up Birds Point; interview with Jon Remo. Riparian Rap. Accessed May 5, 2011.
  4. Kosar, K. (2005, October 25). Disaster response and appointment of a recovery czar: The Executive Branch’s response to the flood of 1927. CRS Report for Congress, Congressional Research Service, The Library of Congress. Accessed May 5, 2011.
  5. Opperman, J. (2011, April 29). Rising floodwaters compel hard decisions. Cool Green Science, the Nature Conservancy. Accessed May 5, 2011.
  6. PBS American Experience. (2000). Fatal Flood. Accessed May 5, 2011.
  7. Rochette, S. (2011, May 2) USACE operates New Madrid floodway to control flooding. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. Accessed May 5, 2011.

NASA Earth Observatory image created by Jesse Allen and Robert Simmon, using Landsat data provided by the United States Geological Survey. Caption by Holli Riebeek.

Landsat 5 - TM

Flooding at the Junction of the Mississippi and Ohio Rivers

May 6, 2011
Image Location
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Floods Spread South along the Mississippi River Tornado Track in Tuscaloosa, Alabama
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Early Spring Floods in Indiana High Waters along the Ohio and Mississippi Rivers Rising Waters on the Mississippi River Rising Waters on the Minnesota and Mississippi Rivers Rising Waters on the James River Retreating Snow and Advancing Water in the Upper Midwest Receding Snow Sets Stage for Floods near Fargo Spring Flooding in the Upper Midwest Rising Rivers in the U.S. Midwest Rising Waters along the Red River Spring Floods in Saskatchewan Spring Flooding in Manitoba Heavy Rain in Central United States Flooding along the Mississippi River Continued Flooding along the Mississippi Flooding along the James River, South Dakota Flooding in Wake of Levee Breach Spring Floods in the U.S. Midwest and Canada Flooding along the Wabash and Ohio Rivers Floods Spread South along the Mississippi River High Waters along the Mississippi River Floods Continue along the Mississippi River Flooding Continues along the Red River Flooding in Memphis Flooding in Arkansas Flooding reaches Vicksburg, Mississippi Morganza Floodway, 1973 Floodwaters near Natchez Rising Waters on the Lower Mississippi Morganza Spillway Opens in Louisiana Mississippi Floods in Arkansas and Tennessee Mississippi Floods in Missouri and Tennessee Flooding near New Madrid, Missouri Water in the Morganza Floodway Morganza Floodway after Five Days of Flow Mississippi Floods near Vicksburg Sediment Plume in Lake Pontchartrain Lingering Floods along the Mississippi River Lower Mississippi River Remains Swollen Waters Spread Across Floodway above Morgan City Lay of the Land Between Old River and the Mississippi Floodwaters Recede along Wabash and Ohio Rivers Floodwaters Retreat from Birds Point-New Madrid Floodway Lingering Floods in Louisiana Morganza Floodway Lingering Floodwaters near Vicksburg, Mississippi Sediment from the Mississippi Floods Sediment in the Gulf of Mexico Floods Recede around the Wabash-Ohio Confluence


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quarta-feira, 30 de novembro de 2011

Otto Cesana and His Orchestra - Sugar and Spice

  1. My Beloved
  2. Hey, Professor!
  3. Devotion
  4. Night Train
  5. Mine At Last
  6. Reflection
  7. Whirlwind
  8. Whirlwind (Reissued Version)
  9. Devotion (Vocal Version)
Sugar and Spice

Once a member of San Francisco's enormous Italian community, composer Otto Cesana (1899 - 1980) caused a good deal of controversy during his heyday, particularly among the crowd that likes to put labels on musical bottles. No less an expert than Leonard Feather thought Cesana was worthy of an entry in the 1960 Encyclopedia of Jazz, published several years after Cesana himself decided to travel to Italy. Yet Feather admits the man's work is "better judged by classical standards and involves no jazz improvisation." While defining jazz has always been a bit tricky, the presence of improvised sections is indeed an important if not requisite characteristic. Cesana most likely got the nod from Feather because his most famous composition is entitled "Symphony in Jazz."

Other classical composers heavily influenced by jazz -- Darius Milhaud or Karlheinz Stockhausen, for example -- do not show up in Feather's reference. But other blockades await as Cesana is herded over to the classical ranch. Noted Brazilian music critic José Domingos Raffaelli feels the composer should be associated with lighter forms of music, writing "...in my opinion easy listening music is the kind of music played by the string orchestras of Mantovani, Otto Cesana, David Rose, Peter Yorke, and others." Even without a clear consensus of how he should be categorized, Cesana also caused a form of retrospective controversy with the titles of his other compositions, particularly a piano roll entitled "Negro Heaven."

Cesana began his study of the piano in 1909. One fact beyond dispute is that the man liked to learn; he had many teachers and became adept at organ, orchestration, and harmony. He turned out compositions and arrangements for radio stations and the Hollywood film studios and began premiering his original works in the early '40s at prestigious venues such as New York City's Town Hall. The direction taken by his subsequent recording career tends to underscore the comments of Raffaelli. For example, Cesana was contracted by Columbia alongside company such as Ray Conniff. Clearly it was the easy listening, lounge, and bachelor pad/hi-fi crowd that was being aimed at, not serious modern classical listeners.

(by Eugene Chadbourne from allmusic.com)

2 comentários:

  1. Bom dia e......muito obrigado....

    A versão vocal de DEVOTION é sublime....uma ode ao amor de homem por uma mulher....

    Sem querer abusar.....vc teria o LP ECSTASY do mesmo band leader?

    Peter Hammill

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Evid Based Nurs 7:14 doi:10.1136/ebn.7.1.14
  • Treatment

Review: personalised risk communication may improve uptake of screening tests more than general risk communication

 Q Do personalised risk communication (PRC) strategies about participation in health screening programmes increase screening uptake compared with general risk communication (GRC) strategies?

GraphicData sources:

Cochrane Consumers and Communication Review Group specialised register (March 2001), Medline (1985–2001), EMBASE/Excerpta Medica (1985–2001), CancerLit (1985–2001), CINAHL (1985–2001), ClinPSYC (1989–2001), and Science Citation Index Expanded (March 2002); and hand searches of bibliographies of key publications, journals, and authors.

GraphicStudy selection and assessment:

randomised controlled trials (RCTs) that included participants facing real life decisions about whether to be screened (an investigation done by a health professional); compared PRC with GRC; and assessed cognitive, affective, behavioural, health status, or economic outcomes. Exclusion criteria: studies of mass communication or military, school, or prison interventions. Quality of individual studies was assessed using the Jadad scale and a second method score.

uptake of screening test.

13 trials met the selection criteria. Studies addressed screening for breast cancer (10 trials), cervical cancer (1 trial), prostate cancer (1 trial), colorectal cancer (1 trial), and high cholesterol (2 trials). Overall quality of individual studies was good (mean score 15 out of 22). Types of PRC were a numerical risk or risk score; risk categorised as, for example, low, medium, or high; or a listing of personal risk factors without an estimate of risk level.

Meta-analysis was done using a random effects model. Overall, PRC (written, spoken, or visually presented) increased uptake of screening tests compared with GRC (table). However, meta-analysis of 3 trials of PRC using numerical risk scores (n = 4381) and 2 trials of PRC using risk categorisation (n = 1031) found no difference between PRC and GRC for test uptake; PRC using personal risk factor lists improved test uptake more than GRC (table). Separate analyses by type of screening for mammography, Pap smears, prostate cancer screening, and colorectal screening showed no difference between PRC and GRC. Analyses for cholesterol screening showed increased uptake with PRC, but this result should be viewed with caution because of heterogeneity among studies.

Personalised risk communication (PRC) v general risk communication (GRC) for improving uptake of screening tests*

Personalised risk communication may increase uptake of health related screening more than general risk communication.

  1. Dawn Dowding, RGN, PhD
  1. Department of Health Sciences and the Hull York Medical School
 University of York, York, UK

      The systematic review by Edwards et al provides insight into how different methods of communicating risks and benefits to individuals affect whether or not they subsequently uptake screening. This is in contrast to previous reviews that have focused on how more general interventions affect screening uptake.1

      The authors used a comprehensive search strategy, clear inclusion criteria, and 2 checklists to assess methodological quality of individual studies. The results are interesting, in that increased screening uptake with PRC appears to be dependent on how PRC is presented. Communication of risk in precise numerical terms or in categories (low, medium, and high risk) resulted in lower uptake than communication of risk in more general terms. When individuals were given a list of their risk factors as the basis of discussion, but not precise values, they were more likely to uptake screening. However, a cautionary note must be added about the interpretation of these findings because of the small number of studies and the limited variety of screening programmes that were included. Only 5 of the 10 studies included in the analysis used this type of intervention, and most examined breast cancer screening.

      Practitioners who counsel patients about the risks and benefits of screening may find these results useful. They should be aware of the potential effects of presenting PRC in different ways and the subsequent effect this may have on screening uptake. In light of the findings of this review, further research is needed on the presentation of risk information and its effects on individual behaviour. In particular, examining whether particular types of PRC are more or less beneficial for different screening decisions may be appropriate.

      • For correspondence: Dr A Edwards, Department of Primary Care, University of Wales Swansea, Swansea, Wales, UK.

      • Source of funding: Cochrane Health Promotion and Public Health Field Australia.

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thinkBIG magazine - issue 13

Author: thinkBIG
Keywords: issue, magazine, thinkbig
Number of Pages: 76
Published: 2010-07-31

Book Description:

thinkBIG magazine is about achievement, leadership, business, personal development and making a difference. Global in its perspective, thinkBIG focuses on big ideas, people who are changing the world, inspirational stories and everyday wisdom. The magazine also features authors and big thinkers such as Christopher Howard, John Demartini, Justin Herald, Mark, Joyner, Loral Langemeier, Allan Pease, Reuben Buchanan, Joe Vitale, Carly Crutchfield, Dale Beaumont.

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Collection Scope and Content Note

Diaries, 1799-1832, of Stephen Wanton Gould, concerned largely with meetings of the Society of Friends in and around Newport, R.I., but also mentioning the activities of his son John Stanton Gould and other family members and friends as well as several public events; extracts from the records of monthly meetings, 1676-1707, held by Rhode Island Quakers, copied and annotated by Gould; letters, 1862-1868, from John Stanton Gould to his daughter Mary (Gould) Baldwin, relating to the history and genealogy of the Goulds and the related Mott, Rodman, Stanton, and Wanton families, Gould's early life, his interest in the antislavery and temperance movements and in scientific agriculture, and other personal matters; journal, 1866-1869, showing Gould's interest in cattle diseases and grasses and in prison reform and other humanitarian aims and containing many references to his public life and his role in the founding of Cornell University; and microfilm copies of a typewritten copy of a diary, 1851-1862, kept by John Stanton Gould's second wife, Hannah Wright Gould (1819-1912), concerned largely with her life in Hudson, Columbia County, N.Y., and with reflections on religion; and Gould family genealogical charts and notes compiled by her granddaughter, Dorothy C. Abbott, including data on the related Atterbury, Bakewell, Gilpin, Gregg, Lawton, Newton, Parker, Rodman, Wanton, and Wright families.

Also, Hannah Wright GOuld diary (1851-1862) and Stephen Gould diary(1807-1809). Also, various and numerous legal documents.

Also, documents collected by a granddaughter of John Stanton and Hannah Wright Gould, these papers include a Radclyffe (Radcliffe) family indenture, and estate settlement documents and other papers (1687-1747) of the Dyer, Slocum, and Gould families of Newport, Rhode Island; a letter from Father Sebastien Rasles (Rale) concerning the Abnaki Indians and the Protestant missionary to the Indians, the Reverend Joseph Baxter; statistics on the population of Rhode Island together with the quantity of arms and ammunition in private hands, prepared by Governor Stephen Hopkins (1756); a letter (December 1764) to an unnamed person from Charles Bowler, collector of His Majesty's revenues in Newport, protesting Governor Hopkins' defense of the rights of the colonies; a compilation of silver prices from 1700 to 1764 "from the Boston Records," and a copy of a report (ca.1777) on the trial of the Rev. William Dodd at Old Bailey, London; a copy of a petition (October 1777) signed by John Townsend and Gideon Wanton and directed to Sir Peter Parker, admiral of the British navy, concerning their confinement on a prison ship in Newport Harbor; other Townsend family papers; an undated letter from Daniel Holloway, a Newport seafarer; also, printed copies of the Articles of the United Fire Club of Newport with signatures added (1783) and the act to incorporate Newport as a city (1784). Also, the journal (1812) of Thomas Wright, Mrs. Stoddard's great-grandfather, kept during his return to England.

Also, extensive correspondence and other papers (1824-1943) of the Goulds, Stoddards, and related families, including religious correspondence of Sarah Sherman (1832); letters to Julia E. Sanford (later Mrs. Goodwin Stoddard, Hannah Gould's mother-in-law) while she was a student at the Brooklyn Heights Seminary; and notes (1902) to Hannah on her engagement to Sanford; many travel letters, including those written (1901) by Hannah when she accompanied her parents, Benoni and Annie Gould Johnson, and her sister Hilda to Switzerland, England, and Scotland, one (ca.1901) from an American art student describing her living quarters, studies, and companions in Paris, and two (1902) from a college friend, Mary B. Lewis, on a tour of Japan and China, giving details of her excursion by mule litter to the Great Wall, others from Hannah and Sanford Stoddard from the British Isles (1911), from Hannah's aunt, Elizabeth Wright Gould Berry, and her cousin Harriet, written chiefly from Florence, Lausanne, and Munich (1913); approximately 100 "round robin" letters (1908-1920) written by former members of the White Lodge at Smith College, telling of their activities following graduation and presenting a cross section of opinions on such issues as woman suffrage and the position of women, the League of Nations, and progressive education and a record of their involvement in Red Cross work and food conservation during World War I and in social betterment groups.

"Round robin" letters include some from Anna Speck Thomson concerning her teaching at the Settlement School in Hindman, Kentucky, and at Oklahoma College for Women, Chickasha. Also, scattered estate settlement papers (1847-1906); correspondence (1919) between Sanford Stoddard and George P. McLean, Senator from Connecticut; bylaws, minutes, and memoranda (1925-1925) of the Bridgeport Committee for Mental Hygiene, the constitution and bylaws of the College Club of Bridgeport; and other typescript and printed items pertaining to Mrs. Stoddard's devotion to child training and welfare, literary studies, and other educational and civic matters; also, one letter (1943) from her cousin, Romyn Berry, concerning family history and current news, genealogical notes, and obituary clippings; and one box of photographs of friends and family members. Also, a series of pen and ink drawings by Hendrik Willem van Loon, in which he caricatures literary and historical figures.

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EuroNanoForum 2013

18-20 June 2013, Dublin

EuroNanoForum 2013 focuses on the commercialisation of nanotechnologies, exploiting its potential for new applications and taking them further from enabling technologies to end products. It will also introduce the industry to new innovations for growth opportunities.

With Horizon2020 beginning in 2014, the conference will also show how nanotechnologies fit into the new structure within Europe’s key priority areas of excellent science, industrial leadership and tackling societal challenges.

Energy - all | Environment - Environmental technologies | European Research Area | Health | Key Enabling Technologies | Nanosciences, nanotechnologies | New materials and new production technologies | Science with and for Society | Sustainable development | Transport - Aeronautics | Transport - Road


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Taxation and customs union

The Countries of Africa, the Caribbean and the Pacific (ACP)

Trade preferences available to the African, Caribbean and Pacific States having concluded WTO-compatible agreements with the EU.

For general information on trade and development issues in relation to the ACP States you may consult the websites of DG Development or DG Trade.

Exporters in developing countries may also be interested to see the Export Helpdesk for Developing Countries of DG TRADE.

Situation before 31 December 2007

The trade, aid and political agreement signed in Cotonou, Benin in June 2000 between the 77 African, Caribbean and Pacific (ACP) States and the EC has set ambitious goals for the next 20 years. The Agreement foresees Economic Partnership Agreements that will set up an entirely new framework for trade and investment flows between the EU and contracting ACP States.

Under the Cotonou Agreement, trade preferences were granted unilaterally by the European Union. The rules of origin stipulated the conditions under which this preferential access was to be enjoyed by the beneficiary countries.

Annex V of the ACP-EC Partnership Agreement, among which the Protocol concerning the definition of the concept of 'originating products' and methods of administrative cooperation, expired on 31 December 2007.

Situation since 1 January 2008

There have been important changes since 1 January 2008 and depending on the outcome of the negotiations of Economic Partnership Agreements with ACP countries additional changes are still to be expected.

The 35 ACP States which have initialled WTO-compatible agreements benefit from new arrangements (see below under subtitle Market Access Regulation - MAR). The remaining ACP States now benefit only from GSP.

See also the Notice to Community operators and the note to the customs administrations of Member States (which includes the list of countries benefiting from the new arrangements).

Market Access Regulation (MAR)

As of 1 January 2008 the provisions of the Market Access Regulation (MAR - Council Regulation (EC) No 1528/2007 of 20 December 2007) entered into force as a temporary unilateral scheme before the conclusion and application of the revised Economic Partnership Agreements. The MAR contains in its Annex I the list of regions or States which have concluded negotiations within the meaning of its art. 2 (2). It also contains a Protocol on rules of origin in its Annex II.

Operators may find the text of the MAR together with the protocol containing rules of origin here: Market Access Regulation

Specific provisions

NOTICE: Specific provisions only contain information on cases where the rules of the particular arrangement differ from the common provisions, or where these common provisions need to be complemented. Therefore, always check the common provisions.

For the purpose of defining the concept of originating products, the territories of the ACP are considered as one territory. This means that if a manufacturer in an ACP State uses materials from one or more other ACP States, the materials are treated no differently from those obtained in the ACP State in which he manufactures his products.

Cumulation with OCT and EC

Bilateral cumulation, diagonal cumulation and full cumulation are applicable

Cumulation with South Africa

The provisions relating to this kind of cumulation have not yet entered into force, pending the conclusions of agreements including identical rules of origin between the ACP States and South Africa . As soon as these arrangements are concluded the following cumulation may be applied:

Diagonal cumulation : When applying this system the products will only obtain ACP origin provided that the value added in the ACP exceeds the value of the materials originating in South Africa. If this is not the case the products shall be considered as originating in the South Africa.

Full cumulation : This system will apply between South Africa and other Member States of SACU (South African Customs Union, comprising Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, South Africa and Swaziland) provided that the materials undergo subsequent working or processing there.

Cumulation with neighbouring developing countries

At the request of the ACP States, materials originating in a neighbouring developing country, other than an ACP State, belonging to a coherent geographical entity may be considered as materials originating in the ACP States when incorporated into a product obtained there. Under certain specific conditions, it may not be required that such materials undergo sufficient working or processing.

Minimal operations

The operations that are considered as insufficient working or processing to confer the status of originating products are listed in Article 5 of Annex II to the MAR.

General tolerance rule

Non-originating materials, which, according to the list rules should not be used in the manufacture of a given product, can nevertheless be used provided their value does not exceed 15 % of the ex-works price of the final product.

List rules

Compared to the expired Cotonou regime, the MAR rules have been relaxed in the following areas: agriculture (Annex IIa), fisheries and textiles.

Drawback is not prohibited.

Proof of origin

  • a movement certificate EUR.1 issued by the customs authorities
  • a declaration given by an approved exporter or by any exporter provided that the total value of the products does not exceed € 6 000
Validity of proof of origin

A proof of origin is valid for ten months.

Exemption from proof of origin

When the total value of the imported products does not exceed € 500 in the case of small packages or € 1 200 in the case of products forming part of personal luggage.

A derogation is simply a temporary lessening or relaxation of the law or the rules, therefore allowing preferential treatment to be accorded to products which may not strictly satisfy the criteria for "originating products".

Derogations were granted on the basis of art. 36 of the MAR to Swaziland for core spun yarns and for preserved tuna and/or tuna loins from Mauritius, Seychelles, Madagascar and Kenya, the validity of which was until 31.12.2008.

Currently a pragmatic and global approach is under scrutiny, which should allow extending the validity of the derogations for tuna and yarn granted in 2008 until the date of entry into force or provisional application of the respective interim EPAs.

CARIFORUM-EC Economic Partnership Agreement

As outlined in the notice OJ L 352 (p. 62) of 31.12.2008 concerning the provisional application of the CARIFORUM-EC EPA, as of 29 December 2008 the rules of origin laid down in Protocol I of the EPA superseded those contained in Annex II of the Market Access Regulation (MAR) regarding exportations from the 14 EPA signatories: Antigua and Barbuda, Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Dominica, the Dominican Republic, Grenada, Guyana, Jamaica, Saint Christopher and Nevis, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Suriname, Trinidad and Tobago.

  • Bilateral and diagonal cumulation can currently be applied in the framework of this agreement.
  • Cumulation with neighbouring developing countries can only be decided in the future by the Special Committee on Customs Cooperation and Trade Facilitation upon request from CARIFORUM States.
  • There are time limited exclusions from cumulation for rice, sugar and products with high sugar content.

The specific changes in the list rules are in the following chapters: Ex1806, 2007, 2009, 2106, 2202, 2402, chapters 50 to 59, and 8415. Operators may find the text of the CARIFORUM-EC EPA together with the Protocol on rules of origin here: CARIFORUM-EC EPA

Interim Economic Partnership Agreements

Interim EPAs with the following regions are expected to enter into force or be provisionally applied in 2009:

  • SADC (Botswana, Lesotho, Mozambique, Namibia, Swaziland)
  • PACIFIC (Fiji, Papua New Guinea)
  • ECOWAS (Ghana, Ivory Coast)
  • CEMAC (Cameroon)
  • ESA (Comoros, Madagascar, Mauritius, Seychelles, Zambia, Zimbabwe)
  • EAC (Burundi, Kenya, Ruanda, Tanzania, Uganda)


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Post Tagged with: "water pollution"

Fair Fashion

Why Eco Fashion Matters: Toxic Tanneries to Get You Those Supercheap Shoes, Bags and Belts (Totally NOT Worth It!)

This is where our cheap leather comes from. Is it worth it to pay $5 less for a pair of shoes and contribute to this? […]

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Thursday, August 24, 2006

About DragonKnight...

I'm reading DragonKnight by Donita K. Paul for the ACFW book of the month club. This book is really interesting as well as being very reader-friendly for a fantasy book. I don't mean that like it's an "easy" read, but that the story is readable even with all of the new words, creatures, and all that. I can see why my kids loved this series. They love fantasy and read books written for adults all the time (like Dekker's stuff.) I had to sneak this book to my office to read because my kids begged me not to read it without reading the first two books in the series. I know I can't read all three books that fast, so I'm reading snippets when I get a chance. I'm on page 68 and loving it so far.

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U.S. Edition

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Encore Presentation: CNN Presents: We Were Warned: Tomorrow's Oil Crisis

Aired August 13, 2006 - 14:00   ET

FRANK SESNO, CNN SPECIAL CORRESPONDENT (voice-over): In Houston, Texas, it is a terrifying time. The streets are deserted. Businesses are closed. Entire neighborhoods are locked and lonely.

Just the day before, gridlock finally gave way to exodus as residents fled, one step ahead of this year's monster storm, Hurricane Steve. No one yet realizes how much it will alter the landscape, starting right here in Houston, headquarters for much of big oil.

The region is home to nearly two dozen major refineries. Together they process about a fourth of all the oil used in America. This is the calm before this storm.

ANDERSON COOPER, CNN ANCHOR: The winds are just constant now. It's like thousands of needles pricking you.

SESNO: Category 5 Hurricane Steve slams ashore with winds of nearly 200 miles an hour. The death toll is modest, but the physical damage is breathtaking.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Storage tanks have been tipped over here and torn apart.

SESNO: Especially oil refineries, storage facilities, and hundreds of offshore platforms badly damaged. Experts predict it will be months, years in some cases before refineries are repaired.

Gasoline prices shoot up across the country.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: We ain't got no gas, food, or nothing!

SESNO: panic-buying leads to long lines and fears of shortages.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Many pumps have run dry.

SESNO: Satellite television sends these pictures around the world, watching closely, al Qaeda terrorists, who have been waiting patiently for this moment ever since they saw Hurricane Katrina in 2005. With oil supplies now strained and vulnerable, the terrorists make their move.

September 26th, 2009, it's business as usual in the world's largest oil producer. Saudi Arabia is pumping 10 million barrels a day, much of the kingdom's oil passes through the sprawling Abqaiq processing facility near Ras Tanura.

At 12:45 p.m., air traffic controllers pick up a distress call from a passenger jet flying from Tehran to Riyadh. Before they can even respond, the channel goes quiet. The plane disappears from their screens.

At 1:04 an Arab satellite channel reports massive explosions at Abqaiq. Within minutes there are reports of a second attack on Saudi Arabia's two largest export terminals at Ras Tanura and at Yanbu on the Red Sea.

This looks like al Qaeda's big move, its real encore to 9/11, an attack that shakes the world. Some experts speculate up to 7 million barrels of oil a day, 8 percent of total world consumption, will be disrupted for six months or more. No one really knows.

Oil markets are in chaos. A barrel of crude quickly tops $150. Oil experts predict gasoline will hit $7 a gallon in the U.S., $10 a gallon in Europe. Political and business leaders fear the worst.

(on camera): This program is built around a dramatic scenario, a scenario that could affect every one of us. We can hope it never happens, but it's entirely plausible. In fact, we have put it together with experts who study these very possibilities.

In the hour ahead, we will also journey through the present to look at what we are doing about these very things. You see, we have been warned, warned since the Arab oil embargoes of the 1970s, and Jimmy Carter's call to conserve.

SESNO (voice-over): Warned again just recently when an oilman president told us...

SESNO: But we consume more than ever, and forecasts show the trend continuing. So can we avoid tomorrow's oil crisis?

I have come out to Maryland farm country to meet someone who used to worry a lot about America for a living.

JAMES WOOLSEY, FMR. CIA DIRECTOR: Hey, Frank, good to see you.

WOOLSEY: Come on in.

SESNO (on camera): So this is home?

WOOLSEY: This is home, it's only about 20 miles outside the Beltway. SESNO (voice-over): James Woolsey dealt with national security matters for 25 years. He was CIA director during Bill Clinton's first term. If there was a threat, chances are he knew about it.

In recent years, Woolsey has been worrying about what would happen to America's way of life if the oil we are addicted to suddenly wasn't there.

WOOLSEY: If you don't worry about oil interruptions, you are living in something of a fool's paradise.

SESNO: Woolsey's concerns have become a way of life. He and his wife Sue own what you might call an energy safe house.

WOOLSEY: You can see up here we have put photovoltaics.

SESNO: He has put solar panels on his roof and a hybrid in his driveway.

(on camera): The famous Woolsey-mobile?

WOOLSEY: Bin Laden hates this car.

SESNO (voice-over): It gets up to 50 miles to the gallon.

(on camera): You have made your stand as a citizen on energy issues, that can't be just pure coincidence?

WOOLSEY: I think our problem really is our reliance on oil.

SESNO (voice-over): It's not just a backyard issue, Woolsey has written extensively and testified before Congress on the dangers to America's oil supplies. What we need, he says, is leadership, conservation, and a genuine commitment to alternative fuels like Ethanol and hybrid technology.

WOOLSEY: A lot of solar panels.

SESNO: For James Woolsey, our addiction to oil is a matter of national security.

WOOLSEY: This is a war and it's an odd kind of one because there hasn't been anything in this country by way of an attack for over four years. And people have gotten to thinking that 9/11 was just some sort of an aberration, it wasn't.

SESNO: Woolsey isn't the only expert raising the alarm, and terrorism isn't the only thing that could send our world into an energy tailspin. In his book "Twilight in the Desert," oil analyst Matthew Simmons argues we are nearing the point when the world will use more oil than it can produce.

(on camera): Do you hear a ticking clock?

MATTHEW SIMMONS, OIL ANALYST & AUTHOR, "TWILIGHT IN THE DESERT": I hear a gong. I heard a ticking clock during the 90s.

SESNO: And if we don't act, if something doesn't change?

SIMMONS: Well, our life could get a lot darker fast.

SESNO: What is your worst case scenario?

SIMMONS: My worst case scenario is so bad that you don't want to go there.

SESNO: Tell me?

SIMMONS: We would basically end up having a series of energy wars over who gets oil. And they are wars between you and your neighbor, and they are wars between one town and another, and ultimately one country and another.

SESNO: Chaos.

SIMMONS: It's just total chaos.

SESNO (voice-over): One day after terrorists hit Saudi oil installations, fires burn out of control. Al Qaeda, in a tape delivered to Arab television, claims responsibility and promises more.

At the White House, the president holds emergency meetings and deploys additional warships to the Persian Gulf to support the Saudis and protect shipping lanes.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: We got knocked down to the ground, and everybody started running.

SESNO: In Houston, destruction from the hurricane is overwhelming. Damage to refineries is estimated in the billions. World oil markets are gyrating wildly and prices have more than doubled. The world is on edge.

SESNO: The week after a Category 5 hurricane hit Houston's refineries and terrorists hit Saudi oil installations, world energy markets are reeling. In California, some gas stations are charging more than $8 a gallon. The governor calls on residents to cut their driving in half.

The White House announces plans to tap America's Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: The House will be in order.

SESNO: Nervous lawmakers want to know if the reserve runs low, where the oil will come from.

One hundred and twenty miles off the Louisiana coast, over some of the deepest waters in the Gulf of Mexico, I have come out to the middle of nowhere to see just how far we have got to go to get the energy we need.

After an hour-and-a-half, my destination finally comes into view. The Deep Water Millennium, a drill ship that can bore miles in the sea bed below.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: This here is what we call 28 (ph)-inch underreamer (ph).

SESNO: Joe Guinn (ph) is a straight-talking Louisiana native. He has been working offshore drilling rigs for 33 years.

(on camera): Is this mud from...

SESNO: ... 10,000 feet under.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Right. That's 11,990 feet.

SESNO (voice-over): Today, he's the man in charge.

(on camera): Now you have got how many guys aboard now?

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: They roughly keep about 140 people on board.

SESNO (voice-over): We walk the length of the ship, top to bottom, and marvel at what it can do.

(on camera): How deep could you drill here?

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Well, we have got 30,000-foot, I mean, if we want to go 30,000, 33,000-foot, we can drill 33,000.

SESNO: Thirty-three thousand feet. That's six miles, six miles down.

(voice-over): Remotely operated vehicles, or ROVs, reveal what is happening on the sea floor. Global positioning systems and thrusters underneath the ship keep it in place over the wellhead.

Computerized lifts pull pipe 270 feet at a time with nothing more than the flick of a wrist. Today they are down 11,000 feet, two miles below the ship.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Twenty years ago, I told them they were full of crap. We weren't going to drill out here in the deeper water. Fortunately they made me a liar.

SESNO: All this part of the great global race just to locate new deposits of oil and natural gas. The Millennium is working in the eastern Gulf of Mexico for Anadarko Petroleum. The ship and crew cost nearly $300,000 a day, each deep water site a huge gamble, hundreds of millions for what could be a dry hole.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Right now we plan on getting an additional 2,000 or 3,000 feet... SESNO: In Houston, the drilling strategy is set by exploration manager Stuart Strife (ph), and his team of geologists and engineers.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: We will penetrate as we drill this well.

SESNO: They pore over maps and charts, deciding where to drill. The stakes couldn't be higher. America now uses nearly 21 million barrels of oil a day, a quarter of total world consumption. It imports nearly 60 percent of it. Domestic production has been falling for 35 years.

The Gulf waters are a bright spot.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Well, out here we are looking for what we would call big fields. And we would say a big field is 100 million barrels of oil.

SESNO: That may sound like a lot, but it's small compared to the world's really big fields, which contain billions of barrels. That billion with a "B." But we need every drop we can get, and at today's prices, there is money to be made.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: And that's what helps us set up that three dimensional...

SESNO: Which is why Anadarko employs GEE Whiz 3D software to peer deep into the planet.

(on camera): You are literally touring inside the Earth here?

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Yes, absolutely.

SESNO (voice-over): Anadarko's John Stevenson (ph) shows me a new way they are looking at the underwater geology.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: When you are in this room, you really are feeling like you are in the data.

SESNO (on camera): I feel like I'm under water.

SESNO: Is there a lot of oil and gas down there?

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Right here we don't know. The truth of the matter is it's going to get harder and harder to find it. There should be, there should be.

SESNO (voice-over): The only way to know for sure is to drill.

(on camera): How long is it taking you to drill where you are now?

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Well, usually around about two weeks we can drill a well. SESNO (voice-over): This site will soon be producing natural gas from a platform very much like this one, the Marco Polo. All together these deep waters account for nearly 18 percent of domestic oil production. It helps, but it won't be our salvation, says oil analyst Matthew Simmons.

SIMMONS: The production profile of each field goes like this. So they come on-stream and they basically peak in about 12 to 18 months and five years later they are down to 20 percent.

SESNO (on camera): And they are quick hits.

SESNO: And we don't need quick hits.

SIMMONS: No, no, no.

SESNO (voice-over): Or do we?

JIM HACKETT, CHMN., PRES. & CEO, ANADARKO PETROLEUM: Well, the clock is ticking on America's competitiveness.

SESNO (on camera): How much can this produce?

(voice-over): Anadarko's CEO, Jim Hackett, believes it is critical that we open more of these waters to exploration.

HACKETT: You know, I agree with those that say that you can't drill your way to independence on energy. What I do think we can do though is impact the price we pay for that by developing our own resources to the maximum extent possible. There is a lot of oil and gas available in the world, but it's not easy to get at anymore.

SESNO: And that's why our quest takes us to the edges of the Earth, from the deep waters to the deep freeze. But can it do more than buy us some time?

SESNO: Fort McMurray, Alberta, lies in the frigid remoteness of northern Canada.

(on camera): Big piece of land.

(voice-over): But it is quickly moving front and center on the world energy stage.

(on camera): These trucks are coming virtually all the time.

SESNO (voice-over): It has been put on the map by these oil sands, 58,000 square miles of them, 174 billion barrels worth of recoverable oil, giving Canada, America's quiet neighbor to the north, the second-largest oil reserves in the world, right behind Saudi Arabia.

No pump jacks here, though, this is a mining operation, an enormous open pit whose deep, dark deposits are literally pay dirt.

CHARLES RUIGROK, CEO, SYNCRUDE: And we take that oil sand and add warm water to it, and extract from it this very, very heavy oil.

SESNO: They turn that into high quality synthetic crude, explains Charles Ruigrok. He is CEO of Syncrude, the largest producer in the region.

RUIGROK: At the end of the day, this is what we are in business for, right? We want to end up with this stuff.

SESNO (on camera): This is selling for how much a barrel?

RUIGROK: We are at $60 a barrel right now.

SESNO: That's the money-maker.

RUIGROK: We produce 250,000 barrels a day of that stuff.

SESNO (voice-over): That means moving about 1 million tons of earth every day. Nova Scotia Bob McGregor (ph) came to Fort McMurray three decades ago. He never left.

(on camera): Which is the surge (ph) file (ph)?

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Surge (ph) file (ph) is over by that Century 21.

SESNO (voice-over): McGregor knows every detail of this mine. No backyard sandbox, but a massive hole in the ground, which will only add to Canada's position as America's leading supplier of oil.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: That just turns into a milkshake of sand and oil, in the pipeline, into the plant.

SESNO (on camera): Basically it's three scoops and you are out, right?

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Pretty much, yes.

SESNO (voice-over): We are dwarfed by these gigantic trucks, the biggest in the world. They haul 400 tons at a time. The tires alone cost $40,000 each.

(on camera): Listen, I will tell you, if I had Tonka trucks like these when I was a little kid, my life might have taken a whole different course.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Yes, that's for sure.

SESNO (voice-over): And it never stops. The operation churns 24-7. It's an industry in overdrive, in 10 years production is expected to triple to 3 million barrels a day. The problem is world demand is expected to increase by 20 million barrels a day.

So in the event of a crisis, this is not the place to look. (on camera): As impressive as this is, if there were a revolution in Saudi Arabia, for example, Canada can't bail out the world.

RUIGROK: Canada could not bail out the world with oil sands production. At the same time, the oil sands production in Canada is critical to the long-term future of energy supply in North America.

SESNO (voice-over): There may be 100 years of oil here, but that big market just south of the border, the United States, may find that location isn't everything, that Canada has its own interests. A proposed pipeline could take these resources to Canada's west coast for export elsewhere.

Among the pipeline's backers, the People's Republic of China, anxious to get access to all the oil it can as fast as it can.

Two weeks after the attack on Saudi oil and the hurricane that destroyed many of Houston's refineries, there is still no definitive word on when oil production will return to normal.

The world's stock markets are down close to 20 percent. America's big retail stores are largely empty, truckers are simply not driving.

China and Iran announce a deal, Iranian oil in exchange for more Chinese nuclear technology. Both countries insist it is for peaceful purposes. The seeds for this were sown years ago.

China, with its 1.3 billion people and beast of an economy is shopping the world for oil. It is now the world's second-largest consumer of oil behind the U.S. And its aspirations are as big as its population.

Lee (ph) and Jong (ph) are a tiny but telling slice of that. The young couple live in a modest studio apartment in Beijing. They both work, and they themselves as the future.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE (through translator): We saw people around us getting richer. So we feel the things that people have in other countries, we can have them too.

SESNO: To begin with, they want a car. Only about one household in 70 has one in China. And while a car costs more than what Jong and Lee earn combined, they are luck because Jong's family has offered to chip in.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE (through translator): I'm really excited. I'm really looking forward to the moment of taking the picture of the car license. SESNO: Today, they get their piece of China's boom, the first in their families with their own wheels. It's a 10- hour ordeal, an inspection, paperwork, the keys, and finally, the license plate with an "8," a lucky number in China. It means, "to get rich."

Repeat Lee and Jong's story maybe 75 million times over the next 15 years, and you get a picture of China's energy-intensive economic explosion. See it here too, on China's highways, jammed with trucks. They consumer more than half the country's fuel.

China may be forced into a more energy efficient future, but its oil imports are projected to double in just 10 years. So to fill its tanks, China has been striking deals where ever it can, with Canada, in volatile places like Venezuela, and Nigeria, with rogue regimes like Sudan and Iran, but principally with oil-rich countries in the Middle East, Saudi Arabia first among them.

Saudi Arabia is still the world's oil superpower, producing nearly 10 million barrels a day. It has promised to increase production to keep up with global demand, but Matthew Simmons' research leads him to believe the Saudis won't be able to deliver.

SIMMONS: We have been living in -- on an illusion for half a century.

SESNO (on camera): What's the illusion?

SIMMONS: That the Middle East had unlimited amounts of oil.

SESNO: What is the reality?

SIMMONS: The reality is, is there is twilight in the unlimited amounts of oil. We are probably right on top of the highest oil that will ever come out of the Middle East.

SESNO (voice-over): The state oil company, Saudi Aramco, says there is plenty of oil in the ground.

ABDALLAH S. JUM'AH, PRES. & CEO, SAUDI ARAMCO: There is no one, I believe, with all due respect to my friends in the oil industry, who is able to bring large increments if needed by the world economy cheaper or faster than we are.

SESNO: But for the Saudis, oil and everything about it is a state secret. No one really knows how much they have.

For China, for people like Lee and Jong, for the world, it's an enormous gamble.

SIMMONS: What we should be doing is helping China figure out how they basically create a society beyond oil.

SESNO (on camera): They are not building a society beyond oil, they are building a society on oil.

SIMMONS: Copied after us.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: There will be lots of repair work ahead -- 90 percent of the Gulf's oil output is offline. SESNO: Three weeks after natural disaster in Houston, and terrorism in Saudi Arabia, the staggering increase in the cost of energy is felt worldwide. Food prices are way up just about everywhere, tourism and business travel have nearly stopped.

In the U.S., some SUVs now cost more than $200 to fill up. School districts cancel after-school activities.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: Working people struggle with high gas prices.

SESNO: Congress summons oil executives, demanding to know when prices will come down, when the oil will flow again, why they weren't prepared.

The warnings and the ads have been around for years.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: What's the matter?

UNIDENTIFIED CHILD: You are going too fast.

UNIDENTIFIED CHILD: You are wasting gas.

SESNO: Good dads drive 55. It's an ad from the energy-shocked 1970s, a soft scolding from a surprising place, an oil company.

UNIDENTIFIED CHILD: That's a good daddy.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: In the next 20 years, the world will grow by 1.5 billion people.

SESNO: Today's ads push conservation too.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Feeding this appetite for energy will take innovation, collaboration, and conservation.

SESNO: But against a tense new backdrop, surging demand, high oil prices, and few new discoveries.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Some say that by 2020, we will have used up half the world's oil, some say we already have.

SESNO: Big oil's new message has become one company's new identity. BP used to stand for British Petroleum. Now it's "Beyond Petroleum," for real?

(on camera): Hello, I'm Frank Sesno, how are you?

LORD JOHN BROWNE, CEO, BP: Very nice to see you.

SESNO: Nice to see you, too. (voice-over): I meet up with BP CEO John Browne, Lord Browne, as he is known in the U.K., at a solar plant BP operates in the U.S. Browne talks a lot about the environment and sustainable energy. He is something of a maverick in the business.

BROWNE: People ask me often, well, is it wise to promote things that reduce demand for oil and gas? I say, not at all, not at all.

This week we are launching a new business, BP Alternative Energy.

There will be different forms of energy, it is up to companies like BP to promote that.

SESNO: Some other big oil companies are jumping on the bandwagon. Royal Dutch Shell is investing in biofuels. Here a promising new type of ethanol being made in Canada.

Chevron, an American company, has sunk millions into this hydrogen fueling station for prototype buses in Oakland, California.

A real shift or just PR for an industry with an image problem?

SEN. PETE DOMENICI (R), NEW MEXICO: Are you rigging the price of oil?

SESNO: Following Hurricane Katrina, oil executives were hauled before Congress...

DOMENICI: Please somebody describe in detail how the price of oil is set.

SESNO: ... to explain record profits.

JOHN HOFMEISTER, PRES. & U.S. COUNTRY CHMN., SHELL: The price of crude is set on world markets. We do not set or control the price of crude.

SESNO: Why they don't cut consumers a break.

LEE RAYMOND, CHMN. & CEO, EXXON MOBIL (RETIRED): We have nothing to say about the price that is at the pump.

SESNO: And why, with all this money, not one new refinery has been built in the United States in three decades.

RAYMOND: Building a new refinery from scratch takes years.

SEN. DIANNE FEINSTEIN (D), CALIFORNIA: It would appear, if you look at the profit margins, that the industry is purposely keeping refining capacity low.

To be fair, the industry has increased refining capacity somewhat by upgrading existing plants, says overall it has invested more than $300 billion in the past five years, and could do even more if political and environmental obstacles were removed, says industry economist John Felmy (ph). UNIDENTIFIED MALE: The fact of the matter is we could drill our way into oil independence. There are over 100 billion barrels of oil that we believe have not been found in the United States. But we are not allowed to go for it.

SESNO: Back at that BP solar plant, I'm struck by John Browne's careful balancing act: defending big oil...

BROWNE: There is plenty of oil and plenty of gas in the world, there is no crisis, there is no impending doom.

SESNO: ... even as he says government and industry should be far more aggressive on alternatives like BP.

BROWNE: So we are going to invest about $8 billion in this business over 10 years.

SESNO (on camera): Eight billion?

BROWNE: Eight billion over 10 years.

SESNO: It's a big step, but still a fraction of what BP sinks into its main business every year.

BROWNE: We are investing $15 billion in the oil and gas business because it is up and running.

SESNO: So alternatives are still a drop in the bucket.

BROWNE: At the moment, of course they are.

SESNO (voice-over): So BP is not "Beyond Petroleum" yet. And Browne knows how fragile the supply chain is. An explosion at BP's Texas City refinery in March 2005 sent gasoline in the U.S. to what were then record prices. And that was just one refinery, producing only 3 percent of the gasoline used in the United States.

SESNO: The great energy crisis of 2009 is now five weeks old. In the U.S., the postal service furloughs workers and suspends Saturday deliveries. Around the world, manufacturers are shutting down. Several developing countries, facing unrest, issue urgent appeals for aid. Few had planned for this.

This place has a rhythm all its own. But what brings me to Brazil is this, sugarcane, mile after mile of it. They make sugar with it, of course, but also something that makes Brazil a world leader, sugarcane ethanol, clean-burning, high octane.

Ethanol now accounts for nearly 40 percent of Brazil's transportation fuel. In a dangerous world, this stuff is sweet in more ways than one.

(on camera): Eduardo (ph), this stuff goes on forever.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Yes, it's a green ocean. It's only sugarcane.

SESNO (voice-over): I meet Eduardo Gunciera (ph) in the fields near his mill, four hours north of Sao Paulo. It's one of the largest operations in the region.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: They unload the sugarcane here, and with this sugarcane they produce sugar and ethanol.

SESNO (on camera): You can smell the sugar, smell the molasses.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Smells very good.

SESNO (voice-over): Here nothing is wasted. The fiber from the cane is burned, which generates enough power for the entire mill.

(on camera): This is renewable energy in the real sense.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Renewable energy in the real sense. And we are able to produce the Ethanol that's enough to fuel about 11,000 or more cars per day.

SESNO: Eleven thousand cars a day of ethanol...

SESNO: ... from these tanks...

SESNO: ... day after day.

SESNO (voice-over): Brazil is experiencing a sugar boom, 300 mills produce 4 billion gallons of ethanol in 2005, 51 new mills are under construction. And they will need 130 more in the next seven years, why?

Because ethanol in Brazil is not an experiment, it's a way of life. You see it at just about every gas station. "Alcool" they call it, and it's a lot cheaper than gasoline, though it doesn't deliver quite the mileage. Here even regular gas contains 25 percent ethanol.

Brazil's ethanol program has its roots in the 1970s oil shocks. Jose Goldenberg (ph), one of the early ethanol promoters, remembers how the crisis nearly brought his country to its knees.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: The Brazilian economy was coming to a halt because you couldn't get fuel.

SESNO: In 1975, Brazil's government, a military government, decreed a national ethanol program, pouring billions into it. But the big breakthrough didn't come for nearly 30 years. Flex fuel cars, introduced only in 2003, can run interchangeably on pure ethanol, or a gas-ethanol mix.

An inexpensive sensor analyzes the fuel and instantly adjusts the engine. Three-quarters of all new cars now sold in Brazil are flex.

Brazilians say the ethanol they make, together with the oil they pump, are about to make Brazil energy independent. They won't need oil imports.

(on camera): If there is a disruption in the Middle East, life will go on here as normal.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Exactly, exactly. And that was very clear in 1975. That's the reason why we supported the ethanol program strongly.

SESNO (voice-over): Ethanol helped Brazil beat its oil addiction, and with sales and exports growing, its profitable, no more government money.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: I think that we have won. A good scientific idea was adopted by a large country in the world.

SESNO (on camera): I'm driving a Chevrolet in the middle of Brazil on ethanol, pure ethanol, not a drop of oil, imported oil in this tank. And here is the stuff grown all around us that is the fuel.

So I'm thinking, why can't I do this in America?

(voice-over): So I went to Detroit to find out. I meet General Motors' vice chairman for product development, Bob Lutz, a straight- talking former Marine who spent 40 years in the car business.

(on camera): What's wrong with this? I mean, if -- Brazil is going to declare energy independence they say next year or sooner?

ROBERT LUTZ, VICE CHMN. FOR PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT, GENERAL MOTORS: Yes. There is nothing wrong with it. There is nothing wrong with it. We support it fully. We think running the national on E-85 makes more sense than all the hybrids in the world.

SESNO: Why aren't we doing it?

LUTZ: Well, it's -- right now distribution is very limited.

SESNO (voice-over): E-85, 85 percent corn ethanol, 15 percent gasoline, is made in America. But outside the Midwest it's not widely available and represents just 3 percent of the fuel we burn. The federal government has moved to double that. And GM is selling flex fuel cars.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: And here it is, the E-85 compatible 2007 Chevrolet Avalanche. SESNO: About 10 percent of its sales in 2005...

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: What if we could live green by going yellow?

SESNO: ... now they are even starting to market them.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: And one car company will lead us there.

SESNO: But the reason the U.S. doesn't have a big alternative energy market, oil has been cheap for so long, even now Americans practically consider it a birthright.

LUTZ: The only way to get people to save on a scarce resource is to raise the price of that resource. And as long as there is a heavy demand on the part of the American public for full-sized sport utilities, we will supply them.

SESNO: And they do, insisting they make sense. Transportation expert Daniel Sperling (ph) says Detroit has lost a lot of time.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: The automotive engineers have done a great of making the engine more efficient, but all of that efficiency improvement was used to make the vehicles bigger and more powerful. In fact, today's vehicles, on average, have the same fuel economy as 20 years ago. So what we have done as a society is we have said, oil is not a problem.

SESNO: But now maybe oil is a problem. SUV sales have tanked, so what would happen to GM and other U.S. automakers if oil were to get really expensive, say $100 a barrel or more?

LUTZ: That would basically bring the industry to a halt, extremely expensive energy is going to impact every facet of American life.

SESNO: Back in Maryland farm country, far from the oil sands of Canada, the deep waters of the Gulf, the aspirations of the Chinese people, here there is a barely a hint of the precarious balance between supply and demand, only the odd hybrid suggesting an alternative.

This one belongs to the man with whom we started this journey, the former CIA director, James Woolsey.

WOOLSEY: Whether it's a terrorist attack or...

SESNO: We need to mobilize for war, he tells me, that's how serious it is.

WOOLSEY: We have got to be more resilient than we are now, or we suffer the danger of some sort of a knock-out or near knock-out, it's time now to get going.

REP. DENNIS HASTERT (R-IL), SPEAKER: The president of the United States.

SESNO: Late in his term, President Bush acknowledged the need to move beyond oil.

BUSH: By applying the talent and technology of America, this country can dramatically improve our environment, move beyond a petroleum-based economy, and make our dependence on Middle Eastern oil a thing of the past.

SESNO: The talent and technology is out there.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Let's go look at the future.

SESNO: In Detroit, Larry Burns (ph) leads the General Motors team, trying to put a hydrogen car on the road. GM's billion-dollar bet could finally replace the internal combustion engine.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: This will be the world's first fuel-cell vehicle with a 300-mile range. It will accelerate from 0 to 60 miles per hour in less than 10 seconds.

SESNO: Pollution-free technology, but years, probably decades before these cars are king of the road.

Other technologies are within closer reach, like making fuel from hay and other agricultural waste. Though you still have to go to Canada to see cellulose ethanol, as it's called, Iogen, the company that makes it, says the U.S. could one day replace up to half the gasoline it consumes.

President Bush has talked this one up and put some new research money into it. He has also plugged the plug-in hybrid. It has an extra battery, which charge overnight, in addition to its hybrid technology. Make it a flex fuel car so it also burns ethanol, and you could get perhaps hundreds of miles to the gallon, or use no gasoline at all.

But for now...

BUSH: America is addicted to oil.

SESNO: ... Bush's say his initiative comes up short because it is late, under-funded, and fails to mandate significant improvements in fuel economy standards. The new technologies will take billions to develop, years to make a difference.

Meantime the clock is ticking and many of the hard decisions are still being debated and deferred. So we are still stuck with our addiction to oil. And we are lot more vulnerable than we really want to think about.

Terrorism and natural disaster have disrupted much more than just the flow of oil. As winter looms, there are spot shortages of home heating oil and natural gas in America's Northeast and upper Midwest, prices have nearly tripled.

World leaders are now preoccupied with the impact of global recession. The president of the United States signs the Emergency Energy Reconstruction and Freedom Act, mandating conservation, throwing billions at new technologies.

This Thanksgiving, America will be staying home. From California's freeways to the New Jersey Turnpike, it is oddly quiet. Things we took for granted are endangered, and we were warned. (END VIDEOTAPE)

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Items where Author is "VALENTINI, Giovanni"

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VALENTINI, Giovanni (2005) Dynamic competitive advantage through innovation: MA, cooperation, contracting and technological performance. PhD thesis, UNA.

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